Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
14 Nov 2024
Impact of drought hazards on flow regimes in anthropogenically impacted streams: an isotopic perspective on climate stress
Maria Magdalena Warter, Dörthe Tetzlaff, Christian Marx, and Chris Soulsby
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3907–3924, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3907-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3907-2024, 2024
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14 Nov 2024
Influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on annual spatio-temporal lightning clusters in western and central Europe
Markus Augenstein, Susanna Mohr, and Michael Kunz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2804,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2804, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Nov 2024
Is considering runs (in)consistency so useless for weather forecasting?
Hugo Marchal, François Bouttier, and Olivier Nuissier
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-208,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-208, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Nov 2024
2021 Alaska earthquake: entropy approach to its precursors and aftershock regimes
Eugenio E. Vogel, Denisse Pastén, Gonzalo Saravia, Michel Aguilera, and Antonio Posadas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3895–3906, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3895-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3895-2024, 2024
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13 Nov 2024
Assessing the impact of early warning and evacuation on human losses during the 2021 Ahr Valley flood in Germany using agent-based modelling
André Felipe Rocha Silva, Julian Cardoso Eleutério, Heiko Apel, and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-183,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-183, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Nov 2024
Reconstructing hail days in Switzerland with statistical models (1959–2022)
Lena Wilhelm, Cornelia Schwierz, Katharina Schröer, Mateusz Taszarek, and Olivia Martius
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3869–3894, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3869-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3869-2024, 2024
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11 Nov 2024
Development of a regionally consistent and fully probabilistic earthquake risk model for Central Asia
Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez, Mario Ordaz, Benjamín Huerta, Osvaldo Garay, Carlos Avelar, Ettore Fagà, Mohsen Kohrangi, Paola Ceresa, Georgios Triantafyllou, and Ulugbek T. Begaliev
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3851–3868, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3851-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3851-2024, 2024
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11 Nov 2024
Brief communication: From modelling to reality – flood modelling gaps highlighted by a recent severe storm surge event along the German Baltic Sea coast
Joshua Kiesel, Claudia Wolff, and Marvin Lorenz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3841–3849, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3841-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3841-2024, 2024
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11 Nov 2024
Brief communication: Monitoring impending slope failure with very high-resolution spaceborne synthetic aperture radar
Andrea Manconi, Yves Bühler, Andreas Stoffel, Johan Gaume, Qiaoping Zhang, and Valentyn Tolpekin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3833–3839, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3833-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3833-2024, 2024
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11 Nov 2024
Exploring the interplay between observed warming, atmospheric circulation, and soil-atmosphere feedbacks on heatwaves in a temperate mountain region
Marc Lemus-Canovas, Sergi Gonzalez-Herrero, Laura Trapero, Anna Albalat, Damian Insua-Costa, Martin Senande-Rivera, and Gonzalo Miguez-Macho
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-192,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-192, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Nov 2024
Size scaling of large landslides from incomplete inventories
Oliver Korup, Lisa V. Luna, and Joaquin V. Ferrer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3815–3832, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3815-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3815-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
Super Typhoons Mangkhut (2018) and Saola (2023) during landfall: comparison and insights for wind engineering practice
Yujie Liu, Yuncheng He, Pakwai Chan, Aiming Liu, and Qijun Gao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3223,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3223, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Nov 2024
Inundation and evacuation of shoreline populations during landslide-triggered tsunamis: an integrated numerical and statistical hazard assessment
Emmie Malika Bonilauri, Catherine Aaron, Matteo Cerminara, Raphaël Paris, Tomaso Esposti Ongaro, Benedetta Calusi, Domenico Mangione, and Andrew John Lang Harris
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3789–3813, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3789-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3789-2024, 2024
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06 Nov 2024
Strategies for comparison of modern probabilistic seismic hazard models and insights from the Germany and France border region
Graeme Weatherill, Fabrice Cotton, Guillaume Daniel, Irmela Zentner, Pablo Iturrieta, and Christian Bosse
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3755–3787, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3755-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3755-2024, 2024
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06 Nov 2024
Critical infrastructure resilience: a guide for building indicator systems based on a multi-criteria framework with a focus on implementable actions
Zhuyu Yang, Bruno Barroca, Ahmed Mebarki, Katia Laffréchine, Hélène Dolidon, and Lionel Lilas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3723–3753, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3723-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3723-2024, 2024
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06 Nov 2024
The effect of wildfires on flood risk: a multi-hazard flood risk approach for the Ebro River basin, Spain
Samuel Jonson Sutanto, Matthijs Janssen, Mariana Madruga de Brito, and Maria del Pozo Garcia
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3703–3721, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3703-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3703-2024, 2024
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06 Nov 2024
High-Resolution Data Assimilation for Two Maritime Extreme Weather Events: A comparison between 3DVar and EnKF
Diego Saúl Carrió, Vincenzo Mazzarella, and Rossella Ferretti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-177,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-177, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Nov 2024
Reask UTC: a machine learning modeling framework to generate climate connected tropical cyclone event sets globally
Thomas Loridan and Nicolas Bruneau
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3253,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3253, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 Oct 2024
Modelling hazards impacting the flow regime in the Hranice Karst due to the proposed Skalička Dam
Miroslav Spano and Jaromir Riha
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3683–3701, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3683-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3683-2024, 2024
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29 Oct 2024
Real-time Monitoring and Analysis of Debris Flow Events: Insight from seismic signal characteristics
Yan Yan, Cheng Zeng, Renhe Wang, Yifei Cui, Sheng Hu, Xinglu Wang, and Hui Tang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2977,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2977, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Oct 2024
Historical changes in drought characteristics and its impact on vegetation cover over Madagascar
Herijaona Hani-Roge Hundilida Randriatsara, Eva Holtanova, Karim Rizwan, Hassen Babaousmail, Mirindra Finaritra Tanteliniaina Rabezanahary, Kokou Romaric Posset, Donnata Alupot, and Brian Odhiambo Ayugi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-191,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-191, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Oct 2024
Spatiotemporal variability of flash floods and their human impacts in the Czech Republic during the 2001–2023 period
Rudolf Brázdil, Dominika Faturová, Monika Šulc Michalková, Jan Řehoř, Martin Caletka, and Pavel Zahradníček
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3663–3682, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3663-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3663-2024, 2024
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28 Oct 2024
Untangling the Waves: Decomposing Extreme Sea Levels in a non-tidal basin, the Baltic Sea
Marvin Lorenz, Katri Viigand, and Ulf Gräwe
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-198,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-198, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Oct 2024
Probabilistic Seismic Landslide Hazard Assessment Considering Different Scenarios of Earthquake and Rainfalls in Bomi, China
Shuai Chen, Zelang Miao, and Lixin Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2481,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2481, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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25 Oct 2024
InSAR-informed in situ monitoring for deep-seated landslides: insights from El Forn (Andorra)
Rachael Lau, Carolina Seguí, Tyler Waterman, Nathaniel Chaney, and Manolis Veveakis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3651–3661, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3651-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3651-2024, 2024
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25 Oct 2024
Automated Rapid Estimation of Flood Depth using Digital Elevation Model and EOS-04 Satellite derived Flood inundation
Lakshmi Amani Chimata, Suresh Babu Anuvala Setty Venkata, Shashi Vardhan Reddy Patlolla, Durga Rao Korada Hari Venkata, Sreenivas Kandrika, and Prakash Chauhan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2278,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2278, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Oct 2024
Rapid simulation of wave runup on morphologically diverse, reef-lined coasts with the BEWARE-2 (Broad-range Estimator of Wave Attack in Reef Environments) meta-process model
Robert McCall, Curt Storlazzi, Floortje Roelvink, Stuart G. Pearson, Roel de Goede, and José A. Á. Antolínez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3597–3625, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3597-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3597-2024, 2024
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24 Oct 2024
Risk of compound flooding substantially increases in the future Mekong River delta
Melissa Wood, Ivan D. Haigh, Quan Quan Le, Hung Nghia Nguyen, Hoang Ba Tran, Stephen E. Darby, Robert Marsh, Nikolaos Skliris, and Joël J.-M. Hirschi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3627–3649, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3627-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3627-2024, 2024
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24 Oct 2024
An Ensemble Random Forest Model for Seismic Energy Forecast
Sukh Sagar Shukla, Jaya Dhanya, Praveen Kumar, Priyanka, and Varun Dutt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-129,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-129, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Oct 2024
Where to start with climate-smart forest management? Climatic risk for forest-based mitigation
Natalie Piazza, Luca Malanchini, Edoardo Nevola, and Giorgio Vacchiano
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3579–3595, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3579-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3579-2024, 2024
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21 Oct 2024
Brief communication: Evidence of the impacts of climate extremes on power system outages in India
Jasper Verschuur and Srijith Balakrishnan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3176,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3176, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
The Earthquake Risk Model of Switzerland, ERM-CH23
Athanasios N. Papadopoulos, Philippe Roth, Laurentiu Danciu, Paolo Bergamo, Francesco Panzera, Donat Fäh, Carlo Cauzzi, Blaise Duvernay, Alireza Khodaverdian, Pierino Lestuzzi, Ömer Odabaşi, Ettore Fagà, Paolo Bazzurro, Michèle Marti, Nadja Valenzuela, Irina Dallo, Nicolas Schmid, Philip Kästli, Florian Haslinger, and Stefan Wiemer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3561–3578, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3561-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3561-2024, 2024
Short summary Executive editor
17 Oct 2024
Transferability of machine-learning-based modeling frameworks across flood events for hindcasting maximum river water depths in coastal watersheds
Maryam Pakdehi, Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf, Behzad Nazari, and Eunsaem Cho
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3537–3559, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3537-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3537-2024, 2024
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17 Oct 2024
Multi-hazards in Scandinavia: Impacts and risks from compound heatwaves, droughts and wildfires
Gwendoline Ducros, Timothy Tiggeloven, Lin Ma, Anne Sophie Daloz, Nina Schuhen, and Marleen C. de Ruiter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3158,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3158, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Oct 2024
Classifying extratropical cyclones and their impact on Finland’s electricity grid: Insights from 92 damaging windstorms
Ilona Láng-Ritter, Terhi Kristiina Laurila, Antti Mäkelä, Hilppa Gregow, and VIctoria Anne SInclair
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3019,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3019, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Oct 2024
Dynamic response of pile–slab retaining wall structure under rockfall impact
Peng Zou, Gang Luo, Yuzhang Bi, and Hanhua Xu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3497–3517, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3497-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3497-2024, 2024
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14 Oct 2024
Estimating ground motion intensities using simulation-based estimates of local crustal seismic response
Himanshu Agrawal and John McCloskey
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3519–3536, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3519-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3519-2024, 2024
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14 Oct 2024
Development of a wind-based storm surge model for the German Bight
Laura Schaffer, Andreas Boesch, Johanna Baehr, and Tim Kruschke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3144,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3144, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Oct 2024
Accelerating compound flood risk assessments through active learning: A case study of Charleston County (USA)
Lucas Terlinden-Ruhl, Anaïs Couasnon, Dirk Eilander, Gijs G. Hendrickx, Patricia Mares-Nasarre, and José A. Á. Antolínez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-196,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-196, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Oct 2024
Constantly renewing glacial lakes in the Kyrgyz Range, northern Tien Shan
Mirlan Daiyrov and Chiyuki Narama
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-160,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-160, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Oct 2024
Autonomous and efficient large-scale snow avalanche monitoring with an Unmanned Aerial System (UAS)
Jaeyoung Lim, Elisabeth Hafner, Florian Achermann, Rik Girod, David Rohr, Nicholas R. J. Lawrance, Yves Bühler, and Roland Siegwart
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2728,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2728, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Oct 2024
A brief history of tsunamis in the Vanuatu Arc
Jean H. M. Roger and Bernard Pelletier
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3461–3478, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3461-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3461-2024, 2024
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09 Oct 2024
GTDI: a game-theory-based integrated drought index implying hazard-causing and hazard-bearing impact change
Xiaowei Zhao, Tianzeng Yang, Hongbo Zhang, Tian Lan, Chaowei Xue, Tongfang Li, Zhaoxia Ye, Zhifang Yang, and Yurou Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3479–3495, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3479-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3479-2024, 2024
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09 Oct 2024
Brief Communication: AI-driven rapid landslides mapping following the 2024 Hualien City Earthquake in Taiwan
Lorenzo Nava, Alessandro Novellino, Chengyong Fang, Kushanav Bhuyan, Kathryn Leeming, Itahisa Gonzalez Alvarez, Claire Dashwood, Sophie Doward, Rahul Chahel, Emma McAllister, Sansar Raj Meena, and Filippo Catani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-146,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-146, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Oct 2024
Long-term hazard of pyroclastic density currents at Vesuvius (Southern Italy) with maps of impact parameters
Pierfrancesco Dellino, Fabio Dioguardi, Roberto Sulpizio, and Daniela Mele
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2971,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2971, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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09 Oct 2024
Drought propagation in high-latitude catchments: Insights from a 60-Year Analysis Using Standardized Indices
Claudia Teutschbein, Thomas Grabs, Markus Giese, Andrijana Todorović, and Roland Barthel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2742,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2742, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Oct 2024
Insurance loss model vs. meteorological loss index – how comparable are their loss estimates for European windstorms?
Julia Moemken, Inovasita Alifdini, Alexandre M. Ramos, Alexandros Georgiadis, Aidan Brocklehurst, Lukas Braun, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3445–3460, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3445-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3445-2024, 2024
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08 Oct 2024
Review article: Towards multi-hazard and multi-risk indicators – a review and recommendations for development and implementation 
Christopher J. White, Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan, Marcello Arosio, Stephanie Buller, YoungHwa Cha, Roxana Ciurean, Julia M. Crummy, Melanie Duncan, Joel Gill, Claire Kennedy, Elisa Nobile, Lara Smale, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-178,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-178, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Oct 2024
Reevaluating Flood Protection: Disaster Risk Reduction for Urbanized Alluvial Fans
Tamir Grodek and Gerardo Benito
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-171,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-171, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Oct 2024
Brief communication: Comprehensive Resilience to Typhoon Disasters: An Urban Assessment of 27 Cities in Seven Major River Basin, China
Zezhao Liu, Jiahui Yang, and Cong Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2343,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2343, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Oct 2024
Floods in the Pyrenees: a global view through a regional database
María Carmen Llasat, Montserrat Llasat-Botija, Erika Pardo, Raül Marcos-Matamoros, and Marc Lemus-Canovas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3423–3443, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3423-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3423-2024, 2024
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07 Oct 2024
Co- and postseismic subaquatic evidence for prehistoric fault activity near Coyhaique, Aysén Region, Chile
Morgan Vervoort, Katleen Wils, Kris Vanneste, Roberto Urrutia, Mario Pino, Catherine Kissel, Marc De Batist, and Maarten Van Daele
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3401–3421, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3401-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3401-2024, 2024
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07 Oct 2024
Multi-hazard susceptibility mapping in the karst context using a machine-learning method (MaxEnt)
Hedieh Soltanpour, Kamal Serrhini, Joel C. Gill, Sven Fuchs, and Solmaz Mohadjer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1779,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1779, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Oct 2024
Disaster Management Following the Great Kahramanmaraş Earthquakes in 2023, Türkiye
Bektaş Sari
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2538,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2538, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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07 Oct 2024
Invited perspectives: Thunderstorm Intensification from Mountains to Plains
Jannick Fischer, Pieter Groenemeijer, Alois Holzer, Monika Feldmann, Katharina Schröer, Francesco Battaglioli, Lisa Schielicke, Tomáš Púčik, Christoph Gatzen, Bogdan Antonescu, and the TIM Partners
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2798,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2798, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2024
Glide-snow avalanches: a mechanical, threshold-based release area model
Amelie Fees, Alec van Herwijnen, Michael Lombardo, Jürg Schweizer, and Peter Lehmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3387–3400, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3387-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3387-2024, 2024
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02 Oct 2024
Preface: Advances in pluvial and fluvial flood forecasting and assessment and flood risk management
Cristina Prieto, Dhruvesh Patel, Dawei Han, Benjamin Dewals, Michaela Bray, and Daniela Molinari
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3381–3386, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3381-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3381-2024, 2024
02 Oct 2024
The 2018–2023 drought in Berlin: impacts and analysis of the perspective of water resources management
Ina Pohle, Sarah Zeilfelder, Johannes Birner, and Benjamin Creutzfeldt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-187,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-187, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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02 Oct 2024
What if extreme droughts occur more frequently? – Mechanisms and limits of forest adaptation in pine monocultures and mixed forests in Berlin-Brandenburg, Germany
Jamir Priesner, Boris Sakschewski, Maik Billing, Werner von Bloh, Sebastian Fiedler, Sarah Bereswill, Kirsten Thonicke, and Britta Tietjen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3066,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3066, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2024
Applicability and effectiveness of structural measures for subsidence (risk) reduction in urban areas
Nicoletta Nappo and Mandy Korff
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2537,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2537, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Oct 2024
A coupled hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling approach for estimating rainfall thresholds of debris-flow occurrence
Zhen Lei Wei, Yue Quan Shang, Qiu Hua Liang, and Xi Lin Xia
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3357–3379, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3357-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3357-2024, 2024
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01 Oct 2024
Particle and front tracking in experimental and computational avalanche dynamics
Michael Neuhauser, Anselm Köhler, Anna Wirbel, Felix Oesterle, Wolfgang Fellin, Johannes Gerstmayr, Falko Dressler, and Jan-Thomas Fischer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-164,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-164, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 Sep 2024
Improving fire severity prediction in south-eastern Australia using vegetation-specific information
Kang He, Xinyi Shen, Cory Merow, Efthymios Nikolopoulos, Rachael V. Gallagher, Feifei Yang, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3337–3355, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3337-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3337-2024, 2024
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30 Sep 2024
Algorithmically detected rain-on-snow flood events in different climate datasets: a case study of the Susquehanna River basin
Colin M. Zarzycki, Benjamin D. Ascher, Alan M. Rhoades, and Rachel R. McCrary
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3315–3335, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3315-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3315-2024, 2024
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30 Sep 2024
Climate Change and Farmer Livelihoods in Wayanad, India: A Livelihood Vulnerability Index Assessment
Nikhil Kumbrottil Sundaran, Aparna Radhakrishnan, Dileepkumar Ravindran, Binoo Palackal Bonny, and Navitha Vijayan Nandini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-155,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-155, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 9 comments)
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30 Sep 2024
Brief Communication: Bridging the data gap – enhancing the representation of global coastal flood protection
Nicole van Maanen, Joël J.-F. G. De Plaen, Timothy Tiggeloven, Maria Luisa Colmenares, Philip J. Ward, Paolo Scussolini, and Elco Koks
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-137,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-137, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Sep 2024
Urban growth and spatial segregation increase disaster risk: lessons learned from the 2023 disaster on the North Coast of São Paulo, Brazil
Cassiano Bastos Moroz and Annegret H. Thieken
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3299–3314, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3299-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3299-2024, 2024
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27 Sep 2024
Preface: Estimating and predicting natural hazards and vulnerabilities in the Himalayan region
Wolfgang Schwanghart, Ankit Agarwal, Kristen Cook, Ugur Ozturk, Roopam Shukla, and Sven Fuchs
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3291–3297, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3291-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3291-2024, 2024
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27 Sep 2024
Extreme blocking ridges are associated with large wildfires in England
Kerryn Little, Dante Castellanos-Acuna, Nicholas Kettridge, Mike Flannigan, and Piyush Jain
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-161,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-161, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Sep 2024
Tsunami inundation and vulnerability analysis on the Makran coast, Pakistan
Rashid Haider, Sajid Ali, Gösta Hoffmann, and Klaus Reicherter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3279–3290, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3279-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3279-2024, 2024
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26 Sep 2024
Intense rains in Israel associated with the train effect
Baruch Ziv, Uri Dayan, Lidiya Shendrik, and Elyakom Vadislavsky
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3267–3277, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3267-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3267-2024, 2024
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25 Sep 2024
Influence of data source and copula statistics on estimates of compound flood extremes in a river mouth environment
Kévin Dubois, Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Martin Drews, Erik Nilsson, and Anna Rutgersson
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3245–3265, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3245-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3245-2024, 2024
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25 Sep 2024
Review article: The growth in compound weather events research in the decade since SREX
Lou Brett, Christopher J. White, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Bart van den Hurk, Philip Ward, and Jakob Zscheischler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-182,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-182, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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25 Sep 2024
Forecasting avalanche danger: human-made forecasts vs. fully automated model-driven predictions
Frank Techel, Stephanie Mayer, Ross S. Purves, Günter Schmudlach, and Kurt Winkler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-158,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-158, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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24 Sep 2024
Convection-permitting climate model representation of severe convective wind gusts and future changes in southeastern Australia
Andrew Brown, Andrew Dowdy, and Todd P. Lane
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3225–3243, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3225-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3225-2024, 2024
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24 Sep 2024
Disentangling Atmospheric, Hydrological, and Coupling Uncertainties in Compound Flood Modeling within a Coupled Earth System Model
Dongyu Feng, Zeli Tan, Darren Engwirda, Jonathan D. Wolfe, Donghui Xu, Chang Liao, Gautam Bisht, James J. Benedict, Tian Zhou, Mithun Deb, Hong-Yi Li, and L. Ruby Leung
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2785,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2785, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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24 Sep 2024
Topographic controls on landslide mobility: Modeling hurricane-induced landslide runout and debris-flow inundation in Puerto Rico
Dianne L. Brien, Mark E. Reid, Collin Cronkite-Ratcliff, and Jonathan P. Perkins
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-141,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-141, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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23 Sep 2024
More than one landslide per road kilometer – surveying and modeling mass movements along the Rishikesh–Joshimath (NH-7) highway, Uttarakhand, India
Jürgen Mey, Ravi Kumar Guntu, Alexander Plakias, Igo Silva de Almeida, and Wolfgang Schwanghart
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3207–3223, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3207-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3207-2024, 2024
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23 Sep 2024
| Highlight paper
Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems
Anne F. Van Loon, Sarra Kchouk, Alessia Matanó, Faranak Tootoonchi, Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Khalid E. A. Hassaballah, Minchao Wu, Marthe L. K. Wens, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Elena Ridolfi, Riccardo Biella, Viorica Nagavciuc, Marlies H. Barendrecht, Ana Bastos, Louise Cavalcante, Franciska T. de Vries, Margaret Garcia, Johanna Mård, Ileen N. Streefkerk, Claudia Teutschbein, Roshanak Tootoonchi, Ruben Weesie, Valentin Aich, Juan P. Boisier, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Yiheng Du, Mauricio Galleguillos, René Garreaud, Monica Ionita, Sina Khatami, Johanna K. L. Koehler, Charles H. Luce, Shreedhar Maskey, Heidi D. Mendoza, Moses N. Mwangi, Ilias G. Pechlivanidis, Germano G. Ribeiro Neto, Tirthankar Roy, Robert Stefanski, Patricia Trambauer, Elizabeth A. Koebele, Giulia Vico, and Micha Werner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3173–3205, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3173-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3173-2024, 2024
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23 Sep 2024
Coupling WRF with HEC-HMS and WRF-Hydro for flood forecasting in typical mountainous catchments of northern China
Sheik Umar Jam-Jalloh, Jia Liu, Yicheng Wang, and Yuchen Liu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3155–3172, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3155-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3155-2024, 2024
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23 Sep 2024
Temporal persistence of postfire flood hazards under present and future climate conditions in southern Arizona, USA
Tao Liu, Luke A. McGuire, Ann M. Youberg, Charles J. Abolt, and Adam L. Atchley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-151,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-151, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Sep 2024
The dynamics of peak head responses at Dutch canal dikes and the impact of climate change
Bart Strijker and Matthijs Kok
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1495,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1495, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Sep 2024
Multi-scale hydraulic graph neural networks for flood modelling
Roberto Bentivoglio, Elvin Isufi, Sebastiaan Nicolas Jonkman, and Riccardo Taormina
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2621,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2621, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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19 Sep 2024
Forearc crustal faults as tsunami sources in the upper plate of the Lesser Antilles subduction zone: the case study of the Morne Piton fault system
Melody Philippon, Jean Roger, Jean-Frédéric Lebrun, Isabelle Thinon, Océane Foix, Stéphane Mazzotti, Marc-André Gutscher, Leny Montheil, and Jean-Jacques Cornée
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3129–3154, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3129-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3129-2024, 2024
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19 Sep 2024
Derivation of Moisture-Driven Landslide Thresholds for Northeastern Regions of the Indian Himalayas
Danish Monga and Poulomi Ganguli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-152,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-152, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Sep 2024
Sectoral Vulnerability to Drought: Exploring the Role of Blue and Green Water Dependency in Mid and High-Latitudes
Elin Stenfors, Malgorzata Blicharska, Thomas Grabs, and Claudia Teutschbein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2726,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2726, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Sep 2024
Monte-Carlo based sensitivity analysis of the RIM2D hydrodynamic model for the 2021 flood event in Western Germany
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Patricio Yeste, Heiko Apel, and Viet Dung Nguyen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-77,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-77, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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18 Sep 2024
Brief communication: Small-scale geohazards cause significant and highly variable impacts on emotions
Evgenia Ilyinskaya, Vésteinn Snæbjarnarson, Hanne Krage Carlsen, and Björn Oddsson
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3115–3128, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3115-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3115-2024, 2024
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18 Sep 2024
Coupled GPU-based Modeling of Dynamic-Wave Flow and Solute Transport in Floods with Cellular Automata Framework
Hsiang-Lin Yu and Tsang-Jung Chang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-131,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-131, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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18 Sep 2024
Assessing Flood Risk: Identifying Indicators and Indices for Period-Specific Flood Measures
Pınar Pamukçu Albers and Mariele Evers
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2534,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2534, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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18 Sep 2024
Impact-based temporal clustering of multiple meteorological hazard types in southwestern Germany
Katharina Küpfer, Alexandre Tuel, and Michael Kunz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2803,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2803, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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18 Sep 2024
Bushfire effects on soil properties and post-fire slope stability: the case of the 2015 Wye River-Jamieson Track bushfire
Yuanying Li, Akihiko Wakai, and Susanga Costa
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-132,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-132, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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